Model: TipA1

Caernarfon Town vs Colwyn Bay

PREDICTION

@ 3.20

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 15, 2026 8:15 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 3d 21h

V2 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 12.47% · n=254

V4 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 12.47% · n=254

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 5m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Colwyn Bay. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Colwyn BayGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.155 | A: -0.078

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

80/100

Excellent value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Caernarfon TownHOME

Colwyn BayAWAY

LWLLW

Recent form

DWLDW

Avg goals scored

1.00

1.80

Defensive weakness

2.80

1.60

Shots on target for

3.60

5.40

SoT conceded pressure

4.20

3.60

Home splitL-L-W-W1.50 scored / 1.75 conceded

Away splitD-L-W-D1.75 scored / 1.25 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.20. The V4 confidence band is ELITE with an expected ROI of 12.47% based on n=254 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Wales Premier League (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd3.20

V2 BandELITEROI 12.47% · n=254

V4 BandELITEROI 12.47% · n=254

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

Despite entering the match at a generous price, Colwyn Bay has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. The ELITE confidence band is important here: similar higher-priced setups have historically produced positive model results. Colwyn Bay is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: -48.4% 7D: 6.9% 15D: 9.3% 30D: 9.8%

Model insight

Caernarfon Town – Colwyn Bay Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.20. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show ELITE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 12.47% and 12.47%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample25

Win Rate28.0%

Profit-3.70u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	CDT Real Oruro U19 - GV San Jose U19	3.00	9.73%
WIN	CS Uruguay de Coronado - Cariari Pococi	3.00	12.47%
LOSS	Genk - FC Twente	3.10	12.47%
LOSS	Central Coast FC - Malaita Kingz	3.10	14.27%
WIN	EC Agua Santa U20 - Sfera FC U20	3.10	12.47%
LOSS	SC Kalsdorf - USV Gnas	3.20	12.47%
LOSS	Forfar - Brechin	3.00	12.47%
WIN	Worgl SV - FC Kufstein	3.00	12.47%

Pick

2 @ 3.20

Kickoff

Ago 15, 2026 8:15 PM

Confidence

CONF: ELITE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 12.47% • n=254

Confidence V4

CONF V4: ELITE

Exp. ROI V4

12.47% • n=254

Start

Starts in 3d 21h

Updated

Updated 5m ago