Model: TipA1

Forfar vs Brechin

PREDICTION

@ 3.00

StatusUpcoming

KickoffLug 25, 2026 6:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 1d 23h

V2 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 12.47% · n=254

V4 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 12.47% · n=254

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 1h 58m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Brechin. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: BrechinGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.240 | A: —

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

78/100

Excellent value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds3.00First seen

Current3.05Now

Max odds3.05Highest point

Min odds3.00Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

ForfarHOME

BrechinAWAY

LLLLL

Recent form

LLLDL

Avg goals scored

0.00

0.60

Defensive weakness

4.20

3.00

Shots on target for

1.60

4.00

SoT conceded pressure

9.00

8.50

Home splitL-L-L-D-L0.40 scored / 3.00 conceded

Away splitL-L0.50 scored / 5.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.00. The V4 confidence band is ELITE with an expected ROI of 12.47% based on n=254 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Scotland League Cup (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd3.00

V2 BandELITEROI 12.47% · n=254

V4 BandELITEROI 12.47% · n=254

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. The selection falls within a stronger historical confidence range, which makes the higher price more interesting. Brechin is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 19.8% 7D: 32.4% 15D: 21.0% 30D: 22.1%

Model insight

Forfar – Brechin Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.00. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show ELITE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 12.47% and 12.47%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample30

Win Rate30.0%

Profit-3.65u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Cadiz - Orlando Pirates	2.75	14.27%
WIN	Worgl SV - FC Kufstein	3.00	12.47%
LOSS	Istra 1961 - Milton Keynes Dons	2.90	12.47%
LOSS	CD Nueva Santa Cruz - Virginia USC	2.75	9.73%
LOSS	Pogon Mogilno - Grom Nowy Staw	3.10	12.47%
WIN	Sobradinho U20 - Capital CF U20	2.80	9.73%
LOSS	New Mexico United - Phoenix Rising FC	2.80	12.47%
LOSS	All Boys U20 - Villa Dalmine U20	3.00	12.47%

Pick

2 @ 3.00

Kickoff

Lug 25, 2026 6:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: ELITE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 12.47% • n=254

Confidence V4

CONF V4: ELITE

Exp. ROI V4

12.47% • n=254

Start

Starts in 1d 23h

Updated

Updated 1h 58m ago