Carmarthen – Briton Ferry

Model: TIPPSH

Carmarthen vs Briton Ferry

PREDICTION
1
@ 4.20
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffLug 14, 2026 10:30 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 3
StartStarted 6h 45m ago
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.56% · n=52
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.56% · n=52
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 8h 47m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Carmarthen. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Carmarthen

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

63/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds4.00First seen
Current4.72Now
Max odds4.77Highest point
Min odds4.00Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

CarmarthenHOME
VS
Briton FerryAWAY
LLWLL
Recent form
WLWW
Avg goals scored
1.60
2.00
Defensive weakness
2.60
2.00
Shots on target for
4.80
4.50
SoT conceded pressure
4.60
8.00
Home splitL-L-W-L1.75 scored / 2.25 conceded
Away splitW-L-W1.67 scored / 2.33 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 4.20. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 5.56% based on n=52 historical similar picks. The match belongs to UK Friendlies (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd4.20
V2 BandHIGHROI 5.56% · n=52
V4 BandHIGHROI 5.56% · n=52
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The current odds underline the speculative nature of the pick, particularly given the recent form imbalance. The selection falls within a stronger historical confidence range, which makes the higher price more interesting.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: -76.9% 7D: 3.9% 15D: 20.7% 30D: 14.6%
Model insight

Carmarthen – Briton Ferry Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 4.20. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 5.56% and 5.56%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample2
Win Rate0.0%
Profit-2.00u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSGuangxi Hengchen - Shandong Taishan4.115.87%
LOSSRagsveds IF - Enkopings SK4.205.56%
Pick
1 @ 4.20
Kickoff
Lug 14, 2026 10:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 5.56% • n=52
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
5.56% • n=52
Start
Started 6h 45m ago
Updated
Updated 8h 47m ago
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