Model: TIPPSH
Catanzaro – Bari
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.63
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 08, 2026 10:30 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 3
StartStarted 18d 8h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.42% · n=76
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.42% · n=76
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 20d 21h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Catanzaro | Bari |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-L-W-D-D | W-W-L-L-L |
| Avg goals scored | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| Home/Away form | L-W-D-D (home) | W-L-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 2.25 scored / 2.00 conceded | 1.00 scored / 2.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 6.00 for / 5.00 against | 2.00 for / 6.20 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 5.25 for / 4.00 against (home) | 1.00 for / 6.33 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The market prices Catanzaro as an outsider, but recent form does not suggest a gap wide enough to completely dismiss the selection. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Catanzaro's attacking profile.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.39First seen
Current2.63Now
Max odds2.63Highest point
Min odds2.38Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Catanzaro – Bari Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.63. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -0.42% and -0.42%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample56
Win Rate33.9%
Profit-7.80u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | HERA United (W) - FC Utrecht (W) | 2.80 | -1.00% |
| LOSS | Aarau - Grasshoppers | 2.46 | -0.42% |
| WIN | Greuther Furth - Fortuna Dusseldorf | 2.59 | -1.54% |
| LOSS | F91 Dudelange - UNA Strassen | 2.38 | -1.54% |
| LOSS | Padova U19 - Venezia U19 | 2.38 | -1.54% |
| WIN | FC Osaka Speranza (W) - Renofa Yamaguchi (W) | 2.50 | -1.54% |
| LOSS | Montana - Spartak Varna | 2.44 | -1.54% |
| WIN | St. Louis City SC - Los Angeles FC | 2.76 | -3.20% |
Pick
1 @ 2.63
Kickoff
Mag 08, 2026 10:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -0.42% • n=76
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-0.42% • n=76
Start
Started 18d 8h ago
Updated
Updated 20d 21h ago