CD Espuce (W) – Macara (W)

Model: TipTromba45H

CD Espuce (W) vs Macara (W)

PREDICTION
1
@ 4.00
StatusUpcoming
KickoffLug 18, 2026 1:00 AM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 9h 36m
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=258
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=258
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 16h 23m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is CD Espuce (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: CD Espuce (W)

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Balanced

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

59/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds4.00First seen
Current4.26Now
Max odds4.26Highest point
Min odds4.00Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

CD Espuce (W)HOME
VS
Macara (W)AWAY
LWLLL
Recent form
LLLLL
Avg goals scored
1.00
0.40
Defensive weakness
2.40
3.60
Shots on target for
3.60
4.60
SoT conceded pressure
4.40
7.00
Home splitL-L-L-L-W1.20 scored / 2.40 conceded
Away splitL-L-L-L-W0.60 scored / 2.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 4.00. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.86% based on n=258 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Ecuador Primera Women (ec). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1
Odd4.00
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.86% · n=258
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.86% · n=258
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

Despite entering the match at a generous price, CD Espuce (W) has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 38.4% 7D: 9.0% 15D: 12.2% 30D: 17.9%
Model insight

CD Espuce (W) – Macara (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 4.00. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba45H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.86% and 4.86%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample20
Win Rate15.0%
Profit-7.80u
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LOSSSandhausen - Kaiserslautern4.202.97%
LOSSHaverfordwest County - Hamilton4.002.97%
LOSSNairn County - Elgin4.004.86%
LOSSOdra Opole - MSK Zilina4.004.86%
LOSSKawasoe Club - Brew Saga4.004.86%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
JyTy - IFK Mariehamn II14.104.86%18 Jul 15:00
Bristol Rovers - Portsmouth14.102.97%18 Jul 16:00
Pick
1 @ 4.00
Kickoff
Lug 18, 2026 1:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.86% • n=258
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.86% • n=258
Start
Starts in 9h 36m
Updated
Updated 16h 23m ago
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