CD Rengo Unido – Colchagua CD

Model: TipA1

CD Rengo Unido vs Colchagua CD

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.00
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 28, 2026 12:00 AM
ResultWIN0 - 1
StartStarted 50d 10h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.03% · n=125
V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.03% · n=125
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 51d 11h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Colchagua CD. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Colchagua CDGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

28/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.82First seen
Current2.00Now
Max odds2.00Highest point
Min odds1.75Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

CD Rengo UnidoHOME
VS
Colchagua CDAWAY
LLDDW
Recent form
WDDDW
Avg goals scored
0.60
1.00
Defensive weakness
1.00
0.20
Shots on target for
3.60
5.80
SoT conceded pressure
6.60
3.40
Home splitL-D-W-L1.00 scored / 1.25 conceded
Away splitW-D-W-D1.25 scored / 0.75 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.00. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.03% based on n=125 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Chile Segunda (cl). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.00
V2 BandLOWROI 1.03% · n=125
V4 BandLOWROI 1.03% · n=125
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Colchagua CD has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -28.7% 7D: -26.0% 15D: -14.5% 30D: -6.6%
Model insight

CD Rengo Unido – Colchagua CD Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.00. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.03% and 1.03%. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample35
Win Rate51.4%
Profit+3.55u
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LOSSNK Varazdin - HNK Rijeka2.101.03%
LOSSKiraly SZE - Dorogi FC2.001.03%
WINMoreton City Excelsior - Lions FC2.251.02%
WINCUDP Lobos - Deportivo Metalurgico2.001.03%
LOSSBlooming - Always Ready2.151.03%
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Pick
2 @ 2.00
Kickoff
Giu 28, 2026 12:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.03% • n=125
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
1.03% • n=125
Start
Started 50d 10h ago
Updated
Updated 51d 11h ago
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