Model: TipA1

CD Torrijos vs Sporting Alcazar

PREDICTION

@ 2.80

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffGiu 06, 2026 9:00 PM

ResultLOSS0 - 0

StartStarted 45d 13h ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.48% · n=403

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 46d 2h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Sporting Alcazar. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Sporting AlcazarGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

35/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.94First seen

Current2.89Now

Max odds2.94Highest point

Min odds2.80Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

CD TorrijosHOME

Sporting AlcazarAWAY

Recent form

Avg goals scored

0.00

Defensive weakness

0.00

Shots on target for

1.50

2.00

SoT conceded pressure

2.00

1.50

Home splitD0.00 scored / 0.00 conceded

Away splitD0.00 scored / 0.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.80. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 0.48% based on n=403 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Spain Regional League Play-Offs (es). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.80

V2 BandLOWROI 0.48% · n=403

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

Although the selection comes at relatively high odds, the recent statistical profile appears more balanced than the market suggests. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -3.6% 7D: -8.1% 15D: 14.2% 30D: 14.2%

Model insight

CD Torrijos – Sporting Alcazar Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.80. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.48% across 403 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample73

Win Rate28.8%

Profit-14.41u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	FK Novi Pazar - FK Radnicki 1923	2.80	0.48%
LOSS	Tanzania Prisons - Polisi Tanzania FC	2.75	0.48%
LOSS	Deportivo Moquegua - Deportivo Garcilaso	2.55	1.02%
LOSS	Anderlecht - NEC	2.88	0.48%
LOSS	AFC Rushden & Diamonds - Milton Keynes Irish	2.70	1.02%
LOSS	St George City FA U20 - University NSW U20	2.60	1.02%
WIN	Real Pilar U20 - Argentino Merlo U20	3.00	0.48%
LOSS	Santacruzense U23 - America SP U23	2.60	1.02%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
North Texas SC - Los Angeles FC II	2	2.63	1.02%	26 Jul 02:45

Pick

2 @ 2.80

Kickoff

Giu 06, 2026 9:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 0.48% • n=403

Start

Started 45d 13h ago

Updated

Updated 46d 2h ago