Model: TIPPSH

Albacete B vs CD Manchego CR

PREDICTION

@ 2.17

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffGiu 06, 2026 10:00 PM

ResultWIN3 - 0

StartStarted 45d 11h ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.63% · n=470

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 45d 21h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Albacete B. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Albacete BGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

32/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.78First seen

Current2.17Now

Max odds2.17Highest point

Min odds1.78Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Albacete BHOME

CD Manchego CRAWAY

WLWDW

Recent form

LWWDD

Avg goals scored

1.20

0.60

Defensive weakness

0.40

0.60

Shots on target for

5.25

2.00

SoT conceded pressure

2.00

3.80

Home splitW-D-D-D1.25 scored / 0.50 conceded

Away splitL-W-D-D-L0.40 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.17. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.63% based on n=470 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Spain Tercera - Play-Offs (es). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.17

V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 BandLOWROI 1.63% · n=470

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Albacete B is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -6.5% 7D: -9.6% 15D: 14.2% 30D: 14.2%

Model insight

Albacete B – CD Manchego CR Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.17. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.04% and 1.63%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample306

Win Rate46.4%

Profit-4.30u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Penarol Reserves - Racing Club de Montevideo Reserves	2.13	1.04%
LOSS	Al Ansar Beirut - Al Nejmeh	2.17	1.04%
WIN	Keflavik - IA Akranes	2.36	1.59%
WIN	Buzios - Barra Mansa	2.35	1.59%
WIN	Sao Joao del Rei U20 - Inter De Minas U20	2.24	1.04%
WIN	South East United FC - Launceston United	1.95	1.04%
WIN	St Pauli - HNK Gorica	2.01	1.04%
LOSS	Changchun Dazhong (W) - Sichuan Jiannanchun Women	2.13	1.04%

Active Similar Predictions

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Boca Juniors Reserves - River Plate Reserves	1	2.40	1.59%	05 Jul 19:00
RAAL La Louviere - Kifisias FC	1	2.20	1.04%	22 Jul 18:00
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Hajduk Split - Pafos FC	1	2.26	1.59%	23 Jul 21:00
Athletic Club MG - Sao Bernardo SP	1	2.14	1.04%	24 Jul 00:30
AaB - Hillerød	1	2.25	1.59%	24 Jul 19:00

Pick

1 @ 2.17

Kickoff

Giu 06, 2026 10:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.63% • n=470

Start

Started 45d 11h ago

Updated

Updated 45d 21h ago