Model: TIPPSH
Ceara vs Fortaleza
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.70
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 18, 2026 1:30 AM
ResultWIN2 - 1
StartStarted 56d 5h ago
V2 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 56d 7h ago
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Ceara. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: CearaValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (Min) and market odds.
15/100
Odds Movement
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.41First seen
Current2.70Now
Max odds2.70Highest point
Min odds2.41Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
CearaHOME
VS
FortalezaAWAY
WWLLL
Recent form
LDDWW
Avg goals scored
0.80
1.40
Defensive weakness
1.20
0.80
Shots on target for
5.00
5.80
SoT conceded pressure
4.40
4.40
Home splitW-W-L-D-W2.20 scored / 1.40 conceded
Away splitL-D-D-W-D0.60 scored / 0.60 conceded
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.70. The confidence profile is still limited for this specific model setup. The match belongs to Brazil Serie B (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
Pick1
Odd2.70
V2 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh
AI Match Insight
Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.
Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: 27.7%
7D: 16.2%
15D: 4.7%
30D: 2.2%
Model insight
Ceara – Fortaleza Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.70. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Pick
1 @ 2.70
Kickoff
Mag 18, 2026 1:30 AM
Confidence
CONF: ?
Start
Started 56d 5h ago
Updated
Updated 56d 7h ago