Model: TIPPSA
Santos (W) – Bragantino (W)
PREDICTION
2
@ 3.32
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 18, 2026 1:00 AM
ResultWIN0 - 1
StartStarted 9d ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.04% · n=73
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.04% · n=73
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 9d 2h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Santos (W) | Bragantino (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-D-W-L-L | W-L-L-D-W |
| Avg goals scored | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Home/Away form | L-D-L-D (home) | W-D-W-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 0.25 scored / 1.25 conceded | 1.50 scored / 1.50 conceded |
| Shots on target | 3.60 for / 4.40 against | 6.60 for / 5.20 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 3.25 for / 4.50 against (home) | 6.00 for / 5.25 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Bragantino (W) is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.60First seen
Current3.32Now
Max odds3.32Highest point
Min odds2.60Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Santos (W) – Bragantino (W) Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.32. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.04% and 3.04%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample26
Win Rate42.3%
Profit+10.62u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Rapid Vienna - SV Ried | 3.29 | 4.77% |
| WIN | America MG - Vila Nova | 3.33 | 3.84% |
| LOSS | Slavia Prague - Viktoria Plzen | 3.49 | 4.77% |
| LOSS | Widzew Lodz - Piast Gliwice | 3.28 | 4.77% |
| WIN | Sport Recife - CRB | 3.38 | 3.04% |
| LOSS | Iwaki FC - Matsumoto Y FC | 3.40 | 2.94% |
| LOSS | Yunnan Yukun - Shanghai Shenhua | 3.31 | 2.94% |
| WIN | Maritimo - Chaves | 3.30 | 2.94% |
Pick
2 @ 3.32
Kickoff
Mag 18, 2026 1:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.04% • n=73
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
3.04% • n=73
Start
Started 9d ago
Updated
Updated 9d 2h ago