Santos (W) – Bragantino (W)

Model: TIPPSA

Santos (W) vs Bragantino (W)

PREDICTION
2
@ 3.32
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 18, 2026 1:00 AM
ResultWIN0 - 1
StartStarted 56d 5h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.04% · n=73
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.04% · n=73
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 56d 7h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Bragantino (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Bragantino (W)

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

48/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.60First seen
Current3.32Now
Max odds3.32Highest point
Min odds2.60Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Santos (W)HOME
VS
Bragantino (W)AWAY
LDWLL
Recent form
WLLDW
Avg goals scored
0.60
1.00
Defensive weakness
1.20
2.00
Shots on target for
3.60
6.60
SoT conceded pressure
4.40
5.20
Home splitL-D-L-D0.25 scored / 1.25 conceded
Away splitW-D-W-L1.50 scored / 1.50 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.32. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.04% based on n=73 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Serie A1 Women (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd3.32
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.04% · n=73
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 3.04% · n=73
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Bragantino (W) is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: 2.8% 7D: -1.5% 15D: -11.9% 30D: -2.3%
Model insight

Santos (W) – Bragantino (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.32. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.04% and 3.04%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample30
Win Rate36.7%
Profit+6.62u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSLincoln Red Imps FC - Inter Club d'Escaldes3.304.77%
LOSSGhana - Panama3.354.77%
LOSSAustralia (W) - Mexico (W)3.444.77%
LOSSEgypt - Russia3.274.77%
LOSSRapid Vienna - SV Ried3.294.77%
WINAmerica MG - Vila Nova3.333.84%
LOSSSlavia Prague - Viktoria Plzen3.494.77%
LOSSWidzew Lodz - Piast Gliwice3.284.77%
Pick
2 @ 3.32
Kickoff
Mag 18, 2026 1:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.04% • n=73
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
3.04% • n=73
Start
Started 56d 5h ago
Updated
Updated 56d 7h ago
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