Changwon City – Gimhae FC 2008

Model: TIPPSH

Changwon City vs Gimhae FC 2008

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.10
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffLug 15, 2026 2:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 5
StartStarted 17h 14m ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.00% · n=35
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.00% · n=35
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 19h 18m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Changwon City. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Changwon City

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

32/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.50First seen
Current3.50Now
Max odds3.65Highest point
Min odds3.50Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Changwon CityHOME
VS
Gimhae FC 2008AWAY
LDWDD
Recent form
WWLDL
Avg goals scored
1.60
1.80
Defensive weakness
1.80
1.40
Shots on target for
4.40
3.00
SoT conceded pressure
3.60
5.60
Home splitL-D-W-D-D1.60 scored / 1.80 conceded
Away splitW-W-D-W-L1.80 scored / 0.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.10. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.00% based on n=35 historical similar picks. The match belongs to South Korea Cup (kr). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Medium volatility.

Pick1
Odd3.10
V2 BandNONEROI -1.00% · n=35
V4 BandNONEROI -1.00% · n=35
Odds TrendStable
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Changwon City has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: -35.3% 7D: 7.5% 15D: 21.4% 30D: 15.6%
Model insight

Changwon City – Gimhae FC 2008 Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.10. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -1.00% and -1.00%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample20
Win Rate40.0%
Profit+4.88u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSRio Barra FC - Tigres do Brasil3.34-1.88%
WINBenfica Macau - Macau Chiba FC3.27-1.88%
LOSSBrazil (W) - USA (W)3.09-2.37%
WINAnapolis FC - Paysandu3.00-2.37%
LOSSSuva FC - Lautoka FC3.15-2.37%
LOSSShimizu S-Pulse - Gamba Osaka2.89-2.37%
WINVPS Vaasa - HJK Helsinki3.32-1.88%
LOSSAris Limassol - AEK Larnaca2.98-3.20%
Pick
1 @ 3.10
Kickoff
Lug 15, 2026 2:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -1.00% • n=35
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-1.00% • n=35
Start
Started 17h 14m ago
Updated
Updated 19h 18m ago
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