Chichester City – Havant and W

Model: TIPPSH

Chichester City vs Havant and W

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.66
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 31, 2026 6:00 PM
ResultWIN3 - 2
StartStarted 1d 22h ago
V2 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 8.94% · n=311
V4 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 8.94% · n=311
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 2d ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Chichester City. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Chichester CityGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.039 | A: -0.148

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

63/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.05First seen
Current2.66Now
Max odds2.73Highest point
Min odds2.05Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Chichester CityHOME
VS
Havant and WAWAY
WWWLW
Recent form
LDLWL
Avg goals scored
2.00
1.40
Defensive weakness
1.00
2.00
Shots on target for
5.40
2.80
SoT conceded pressure
4.40
6.00
Home splitW-W-L-W-D2.40 scored / 1.40 conceded
Away splitL-L-L-L-L0.60 scored / 2.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.66. The V4 confidence band is ELITE with an expected ROI of 8.94% based on n=311 historical similar picks. The match belongs to England Southern Premier League South (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.66
V2 BandELITEROI 8.94% · n=311
V4 BandELITEROI 8.94% · n=311
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Although the odds are relatively high, Chichester City shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. The selection falls within a stronger historical confidence range, which makes the higher price more interesting. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Chichester City's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: 11.8% 7D: 6.7% 15D: 16.5% 30D: 7.9%
Model insight

Chichester City – Havant and W Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.66. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show ELITE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 8.94% and 8.94%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample32
Win Rate34.4%
Profit-3.69u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSAvispa Fukuoka - Urawa Red Diamonds2.498.94%
LOSSHearts (W) - Rangers (W)2.438.94%
LOSSTienen - Dessel Sport2.418.94%
LOSSDeportivo Santaní - Deportivo Recoleta2.678.94%
LOSSFC Fredericia - Odense BK2.478.94%
LOSSCento Cuore Harima - FC Basara Hyogo2.618.94%
LOSSSouthampton - West Ham2.558.94%
LOSSSelwyn United - Northern AFC2.5111.02%
Active Similar Predictions
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Dunajska Streda - Slovan Bratislava12.708.94%05 Sep 20:30
Pick
1 @ 2.66
Kickoff
Ago 31, 2026 6:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: ELITE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 8.94% • n=311
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
8.94% • n=311
Start
Started 1d 22h ago
Updated
Updated 2d ago
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