Model: TipTromba3H
Chorrillo – Tauro FC Reserves
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.55
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 24, 2026 1:00 AM
ResultLOSS0 - 4
StartStarted 33d 12h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.23% · n=188
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 33d 22h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Chorrillo | Tauro FC Reserves |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-L-L-W | W-D-L-L |
| Avg goals scored | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.75 | 1.50 |
| Home/Away form | L-L (home) | W-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 0.00 scored / 4.00 conceded | 2.50 scored / 1.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 3.75 for / 6.00 against | 3.25 for / 5.75 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 3.00 for / 9.00 against (home) | 4.50 for / 4.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The market prices Chorrillo as an outsider, but recent form does not suggest a gap wide enough to completely dismiss the selection. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.55First seen
Current2.55Now
Max odds2.55Highest point
Min odds2.55Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendStableShort term
Model insight
Chorrillo – Tauro FC Reserves Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.55. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba3H model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.23% across 188 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample102
Win Rate36.3%
Profit-5.43u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Deportivo Armenio - Argentino Merlo | 2.75 | 4.49% |
| LOSS | Azuriz FC - Blumenau EC | 2.80 | 4.49% |
| LOSS | Deportivo Laferrere - Atletico Camioneros | 2.60 | 2.55% |
| LOSS | Oyonesa - Varea | 2.63 | 2.50% |
| WIN | Al Bataeh U23 - Shabab Al Ahli Dubai U23 | 2.70 | 2.06% |
| WIN | Austin FC II - St Louis City II | 2.55 | 2.06% |
| LOSS | FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W) - Kleinmunchen/Blau-Weiss Linz (W) | 2.75 | 4.12% |
| WIN | FC Raengdai - Chhaygaon FC | 2.50 | 2.06% |
Pick
1 @ 2.55
Kickoff
Apr 24, 2026 1:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.23% • n=188
Start
Started 33d 12h ago
Updated
Updated 33d 22h ago