Model: TipA1

Cienciano vs Lanus

PREDICTION

@ 3.20

StatusUpcoming

KickoffLug 30, 2026 4:30 AM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 2d 17h

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.48% · n=403

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 17h 25m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Lanus. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: LanusGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.123 | A: -0.040

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

38/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

CiencianoHOME

LanusAWAY

LLLLW

Recent form

WWLWL

Avg goals scored

1.00

Defensive weakness

2.20

0.80

Shots on target for

3.20

5.00

SoT conceded pressure

4.60

3.00

Home splitL-L-W-W-D1.80 scored / 2.00 conceded

Away splitL-L-L-L-L0.20 scored / 2.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.20. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 0.48% based on n=403 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Copa Sudamericana. Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd3.20

V2 BandLOWROI 0.48% · n=403

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

Despite entering the match at a generous price, Lanus has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Lanus's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: -11.9% 7D: 2.8% 15D: 9.7% 30D: 19.4%

Model insight

Cienciano – Lanus Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.20. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.48% across 403 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample43

Win Rate27.9%

Profit-5.25u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Fardu Ferghana - FC Lochin	3.40	1.91%
LOSS	FK Blansko - FC Spartak Velka Bites	3.40	1.91%
LOSS	Veraguas CD - CA Independiente de la Chorrera	3.00	0.48%
LOSS	Real Oruro - Universitario De Vinto	3.30	1.91%
WIN	Real Pilar U20 - Argentino Merlo U20	3.00	0.48%
WIN	Juazeirense - Serra Branca EC	3.25	1.91%
WIN	Huachipato - Deportes Concepcion	3.10	0.48%
WIN	Brunswick Juventus - Bulleen Lions	3.10	0.48%

Pick

2 @ 3.20

Kickoff

Lug 30, 2026 4:30 AM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 0.48% • n=403

Start

Starts in 2d 17h

Updated

Updated 17h 25m ago