Club Atletico Libertad – Delfin SC

Model: TIPPSA

Club Atletico Libertad vs Delfin SC

PREDICTION
2
@ 3.50
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffLug 22, 2026 1:30 AM
ResultLOSS1 - 0
StartStarted 22h 28m ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.77% · n=237
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Delfin SC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Delfin SCGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.007 | A: 0.016

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

55/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.30First seen
Current3.50Now
Max odds3.90Highest point
Min odds3.30Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Club Atletico LibertadHOME
VS
Delfin SCAWAY
WLWDL
Recent form
LWWLD
Avg goals scored
0.60
1.00
Defensive weakness
0.80
1.00
Shots on target for
4.00
3.80
SoT conceded pressure
5.00
3.40
Home splitW-W-L-L-W1.20 scored / 1.20 conceded
Away splitL-W-L-L-D0.80 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.50. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.77% based on n=237 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Ecuador LigaPro Serie A (ec). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd3.50
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.77% · n=237
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Although the selection comes at relatively high odds, the recent statistical profile appears more balanced than the market suggests. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 37.3% 7D: 24.6% 15D: 16.2% 30D: 22.4%
Model insight

Club Atletico Libertad – Delfin SC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.50. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.77% across 237 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample53
Win Rate22.6%
Profit-12.47u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSUniversitatea Cluj - Farul Constanta3.503.84%
LOSSWesterlo - KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk3.344.77%
LOSSOstersunds FK - Landskrona BoIS3.604.77%
WINAnsan Greeners FC - Jinju Citizen FC3.523.84%
LOSSLincoln Red Imps FC - Inter Club d'Escaldes3.304.77%
LOSSGhana - Panama3.354.77%
LOSSAustralia (W) - Mexico (W)3.444.77%
LOSSRanheim - Sandnes Ulf3.753.92%
Pick
2 @ 3.50
Kickoff
Lug 22, 2026 1:30 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.77% • n=237
Start
Started 22h 28m ago
Updated
Updated 1d ago
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