Spokane Velocity FC – Charlotte Independence

Model: TIPPSH

Spokane Velocity FC vs Charlotte Independence

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.24
StatusUpcoming
KickoffLug 23, 2026 5:00 AM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 1d 9h
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.37% · n=795
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.37% · n=795
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 11m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Spokane Velocity FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Spokane Velocity FCGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.025 | A: 0.075

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

39/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.85First seen
Current2.24Now
Max odds2.27Highest point
Min odds1.85Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Spokane Velocity FCHOME
VS
Charlotte IndependenceAWAY
WWLLW
Recent form
LDDWW
Avg goals scored
1.40
1.60
Defensive weakness
1.20
1.60
Shots on target for
4.00
3.20
SoT conceded pressure
4.40
6.00
Home splitL-W-L-W-W1.00 scored / 1.40 conceded
Away splitD-D-W-W-W2.80 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.24. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.37% based on n=795 historical similar picks. The match belongs to USA USL League One (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.24
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.37% · n=795
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 3.37% · n=795
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 5.7% 7D: 23.2% 15D: 17.6% 30D: 21.7%
Model insight

Spokane Velocity FC – Charlotte Independence Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.24. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.37% and 3.37%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample190
Win Rate45.8%
Profit-3.32u
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LOSSSpartans - Stirling2.252.49%
WINEPS - P-Iirot2.473.15%
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Pick
1 @ 2.24
Kickoff
Lug 23, 2026 5:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.37% • n=795
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
3.37% • n=795
Start
Starts in 1d 9h
Updated
Updated 11m ago
Torna in alto