Club Celaya – Cimarrones de Sonora FC

Model: TIPPSH

Club Celaya vs Cimarrones de Sonora FC

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.27
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 23, 2026 6:00 AM
ResultWIN2 - 1
StartStarted 78d 23h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.54% · n=136
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.54% · n=136
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 79d 2h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Club Celaya. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Club Celaya

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

22/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.25First seen
Current2.27Now
Max odds2.27Highest point
Min odds2.14Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Club CelayaHOME
VS
Cimarrones de Sonora FCAWAY
WWWD
Recent form
LDDW
Avg goals scored
2.50
1.75
Defensive weakness
0.75
1.00
Shots on target for
9.00
2.33
SoT conceded pressure
2.00
6.00
Home splitW-W-D2.67 scored / 0.67 conceded
Away splitL-D-W2.00 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.27. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.54% based on n=136 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Mexico Segunda Division (mx). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.27
V2 BandNONEROI -1.54% · n=136
V4 BandNONEROI -1.54% · n=136
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Club Celaya has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -6.4% 7D: -6.4% 15D: 18.6% 30D: 14.9%
Model insight

Club Celaya – Cimarrones de Sonora FC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.27. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -1.54% and -1.54%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample52
Win Rate40.4%
Profit-2.05u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSRouen - Laval2.29-1.54%
LOSSAarau - Grasshoppers2.46-0.42%
LOSSF91 Dudelange - UNA Strassen2.38-1.54%
LOSSPadova U19 - Venezia U192.38-1.54%
WINSport Boys - Cusco FC2.36-1.54%
WINFC Osaka Speranza (W) - Renofa Yamaguchi (W)2.50-1.54%
LOSSSt Gallen - FC Thun2.25-1.54%
LOSSMontana - Spartak Varna2.44-1.54%
Pick
1 @ 2.27
Kickoff
Apr 23, 2026 6:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -1.54% • n=136
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-1.54% • n=136
Start
Started 78d 23h ago
Updated
Updated 79d 2h ago
Torna in alto