Model: TipTromba45H

Club Oriental Reserves vs Liverpool Montevideo Reserves

PREDICTION

@ 4.20

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 24, 2026 10:00 PM

ResultLOSS1 - 2

StartStarted 2d 6h ago

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI 0.00% · n=160

V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI 0.00% · n=160

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 2d 20h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Club Oriental Reserves. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Club Oriental ReservesGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.180 | A: 0.060

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

43/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.70First seen

Current4.20Now

Max odds4.33Highest point

Min odds2.70Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Club Oriental ReservesHOME

Liverpool Montevideo ReservesAWAY

LLLWL

Recent form

WLWDW

Avg goals scored

1.00

1.40

Defensive weakness

2.60

1.40

Shots on target for

4.60

SoT conceded pressure

6.20

4.40

Home splitL-W-D-L-L0.40 scored / 1.20 conceded

Away splitW-W-D-L-L1.40 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 4.20. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of 0.00% based on n=160 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Uruguay Reserve League (uy). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd4.20

V2 BandNONEROI 0.00% · n=160

V4 BandNONEROI 0.00% · n=160

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The selection carries significant risk according to both market expectations and recent form indicators. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: 27.5% 7D: 26.2% 15D: 3.0% 30D: 5.8%

Model insight

Club Oriental Reserves – Liverpool Montevideo Reserves Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 4.20. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba45H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 0.00% and 0.00%. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample26

Win Rate19.2%

Profit-5.47u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	ZFK Spartak Subotica (W) - Brondby (W)	4.00	0.00%
WIN	Abo Qir Semad - National Bank	4.00	0.00%
LOSS	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval - Nacional Asuncion	4.10	0.00%
LOSS	HPS/FC POHU YJ U21 - Atlantis U21	4.00	0.00%
WIN	UD Tomares - Betis Deportivo	4.00	0.00%
LOSS	CA Brown de Adrogue U20 - Arsenal de Sarandi U20	4.20	0.00%
LOSS	Tenerife - Getafe	4.00	0.00%
LOSS	Yunnan Yukun - Chengdu Rongcheng	4.00	0.00%

Pick

1 @ 4.20

Kickoff

Ago 24, 2026 10:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 0.00% • n=160

Confidence V4

CONF V4: NONE

Exp. ROI V4

0.00% • n=160

Start

Started 2d 6h ago

Updated

Updated 2d 20h ago