Cobreloa vs La Serena
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is La Serena. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: La SerenaValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.75. The V2 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 5.52% based on n=654 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Chile Cup (cl). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
The current odds imply an underdog profile, although recent performances indicate a more competitive matchup. Historical model performance remains supportive, with similar HIGH underdog setups showing encouraging long-term results. La Serena has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Cobreloa – La Serena Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Club Highland Players - CD Rio San Juan Humi | 3.00 | 5.52% |
| LOSS | Botafogo RJ U20 - Flamengo U20 | 2.90 | 5.52% |
| LOSS | Silvio Pettirossi - Presidente Hayes | 2.80 | 5.52% |
| WIN | Dandenong City - South Melbourne | 2.80 | 5.52% |
| LOSS | Rapid Vienna - Pardubice | 2.63 | 6.36% |
| LOSS | Brasiliense U20 - Capital CF U20 | 2.75 | 5.52% |
| LOSS | Nexus Miyakonojo - Kawasoe Club | 2.60 | 6.67% |
| WIN | Glenorchy Knights Reserves - Clarence Zebras Reserves | 2.60 | 6.36% |