Model: TIPPSH
Colchester – Notts County
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.91
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 25, 2026 6:00 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 1
StartStarted 50d 16h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.20% · n=29
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.20% · n=29
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 52d 12h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Colchester | Notts County |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-L-W-W-W | W-L-L-W-L |
| Avg goals scored | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Avg goals conceded | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Home/Away form | L-W-W-L (home) | W-L-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.50 scored / 1.25 conceded | 0.67 scored / 2.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 5.20 for / 4.60 against | 4.40 for / 3.20 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 5.00 for / 4.00 against (home) | 3.33 for / 4.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
Despite entering the match at a generous price, Colchester has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction.
Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -27.4%
7D: -6.1%
15D: 22.4%
30D: 17.1%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.63First seen
Current2.91Now
Max odds2.97Highest point
Min odds2.63Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Colchester – Notts County Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.91. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -3.20% and -3.20%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample33
Win Rate33.3%
Profit-0.92u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Brazil (W) - USA (W) | 3.09 | -2.37% |
| LOSS | Panama (W) - Jamaica (W) | 2.80 | -2.37% |
| WIN | Atlantis - HIFK 2 | 2.77 | -2.37% |
| WIN | Anapolis FC - Paysandu | 3.00 | -2.37% |
| LOSS | Suva FC - Lautoka FC | 3.15 | -2.37% |
| LOSS | HERA United (W) - FC Utrecht (W) | 2.80 | -1.00% |
| LOSS | Shimizu S-Pulse - Gamba Osaka | 2.89 | -2.37% |
| LOSS | Aris Limassol - AEK Larnaca | 2.98 | -3.20% |
Pick
1 @ 2.91
Kickoff
Apr 25, 2026 6:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -3.20% • n=29
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-3.20% • n=29
Start
Started 50d 16h ago
Updated
Updated 52d 12h ago