Model: TipTromba3H

Colwyn Bay vs Altrincham

PREDICTION

@ 2.80

StatusUpcoming

KickoffLug 11, 2026 6:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 9h 33m

V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.87% · n=123

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 8h 36m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Colwyn Bay. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Colwyn Bay

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

57/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Colwyn BayHOME

AltrinchamAWAY

WLWDD

Recent form

WWWLL

Avg goals scored

1.80

1.40

Defensive weakness

1.00

Shots on target for

5.40

3.80

SoT conceded pressure

4.00

4.40

Home splitW-L-D-L1.00 scored / 1.50 conceded

Away splitW-L1.50 scored / 1.50 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.80. The V2 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.87% based on n=123 historical similar picks. The match belongs to UK Friendlies (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.80

V2 BandHIGHROI 6.87% · n=123

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The market prices Colwyn Bay as an outsider, but recent form does not suggest a gap wide enough to completely dismiss the selection. Historical model performance remains supportive, with similar HIGH underdog setups showing encouraging long-term results. Colwyn Bay has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: 122.3% 7D: 6.2% 15D: 36.1% 30D: 13.5%

Model insight

Colwyn Bay – Altrincham Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.80. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba3H model profile. The V2 confidence band is HIGH, with a historical expected ROI of 6.87% across 123 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample27

Win Rate33.3%

Profit-1.62u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	FBC Melgar - Deportivo Moquegua	2.75	6.87%
LOSS	Bangkok (W) - BGC of Asian Scholars (W)	2.90	6.87%
LOSS	San Martin De Burzaco - Villa Dalmine	2.90	7.34%
LOSS	Atlantis - HIFK	2.90	5.86%
LOSS	Kosovo (W) - Croatia (W)	2.80	6.87%
LOSS	Shabab AL Ghazieh SC - Salam Zgharta	2.90	6.87%
LOSS	Lechia Gdansk U19 - Miedz Legnica U19	2.90	6.87%
LOSS	PK-35 Vantaa (W) - Ilves (W)	2.90	7.34%

Pick

1 @ 2.80

Kickoff

Lug 11, 2026 6:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: HIGH

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 6.87% • n=123

Start

Starts in 9h 33m

Updated

Updated 8h 36m ago