Shabab AL Ghazieh SC – Salam Zgharta

Model: TipTromba4H

Shabab AL Ghazieh SC vs Salam Zgharta

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.90
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 05, 2026 4:30 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 1
StartStarted 46d 15h ago
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.43% · n=49
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.43% · n=49
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 47d ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Shabab AL Ghazieh SC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Shabab AL Ghazieh SCGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

60/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.90First seen
Current3.90Now
Max odds3.90Highest point
Min odds2.90Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Shabab AL Ghazieh SCHOME
VS
Salam ZghartaAWAY
L
Recent form
W
Avg goals scored
0.00
1.00
Defensive weakness
1.00
0.00
Shots on target for
7.00
5.00
SoT conceded pressure
5.00
7.00
Home splitL0.00 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitW1.00 scored / 0.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.90. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 5.43% based on n=49 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Lebanon Division 2 (lb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd3.90
V2 BandHIGHROI 5.43% · n=49
V4 BandHIGHROI 5.43% · n=49
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The current odds underline the speculative nature of the pick, particularly given the recent form imbalance. Historical model performance remains supportive, with similar HIGH underdog setups showing encouraging long-term results. Shabab AL Ghazieh SC is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 15.9% 7D: -3.3% 15D: 15.1% 30D: 13.4%
Model insight

Shabab AL Ghazieh SC – Salam Zgharta Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.90. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba4H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 5.43% and 5.43%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample16
Win Rate37.5%
Profit+6.60u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSWuhan Three Towns - Shandong Taishan3.755.43%
LOSSHebburn Town - Gateshead3.905.43%
LOSSHYH Export Sebaco FC - Diriangen3.805.43%
WINLeatherhead - Dorking Wanderers3.755.43%
WINEast Kilbride - Dunfermline3.755.43%
WINVendsyssel FF - KFUM3.755.43%
LOSSFalu BS FK - Gefle IF3.805.43%
WINSteinkjer - Kvik Trondheim3.905.43%
Pick
1 @ 3.90
Kickoff
Giu 05, 2026 4:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 5.43% • n=49
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
5.43% • n=49
Start
Started 46d 15h ago
Updated
Updated 47d ago
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