Model: TipA1

Comerciantes FC vs Bentin Tacna Heroica

PREDICTION

@ 4.20

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 10, 2026 12:30 AM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 22h 50m

V2 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 9.91% · n=86

V4 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 9.91% · n=86

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 13m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Bentin Tacna Heroica. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Bentin Tacna HeroicaGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.035 | A: 0.090

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

78/100

Excellent value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds4.45First seen

Current4.50Now

Max odds4.50Highest point

Min odds4.20Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Comerciantes FCHOME

Bentin Tacna HeroicaAWAY

LWDLD

Recent form

WWWDL

Avg goals scored

0.40

2.00

Defensive weakness

0.60

1.00

Shots on target for

1.20

5.40

SoT conceded pressure

4.00

4.80

Home splitW-D-D-W-D1.20 scored / 0.40 conceded

Away splitW-D-L-L-L1.40 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 4.20. The V4 confidence band is ELITE with an expected ROI of 9.91% based on n=86 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Peru Liga 2 (pe). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick2

Odd4.20

V2 BandELITEROI 9.91% · n=86

V4 BandELITEROI 9.91% · n=86

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Bentin Tacna Heroica. Comparable matches classified within the ELITE confidence range have historically generated positive model outcomes. Bentin Tacna Heroica is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 11.0% 7D: 16.8% 15D: 8.8% 30D: 11.8%

Model insight

Comerciantes FC – Bentin Tacna Heroica Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 4.20. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show ELITE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 9.91% and 9.91%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample10

Win Rate50.0%

Profit+10.63u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Antalyaspor - Keciorengucu	4.00	9.91%
WIN	Warta Sieradz - Mlawianka Mlawa	4.20	9.91%
WIN	Palermo - FC Ingolstadt	4.00	9.91%
WIN	Yongin FC - Dangjin Citizen FC	4.33	9.38%
LOSS	RoPS - PK Keski-Uusimaa	4.33	9.38%
LOSS	West Chester United - Delaware FC	4.20	9.91%
WIN	Huachipato - Deportes Concepcion	4.10	9.91%
WIN	Cabofriense - Perolas Negras	4.00	9.91%

Pick

2 @ 4.20

Kickoff

Ago 10, 2026 12:30 AM

Confidence

CONF: ELITE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 9.91% • n=86

Confidence V4

CONF V4: ELITE

Exp. ROI V4

9.91% • n=86

Start

Starts in 22h 50m

Updated

Updated 13m ago