Yongin FC – Dangjin Citizen FC

Model: TipA1

Yongin FC vs Dangjin Citizen FC

PREDICTION
2
@ 4.33
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffLug 15, 2026 2:00 PM
ResultWIN0 - 2
StartStarted 48d 12h ago
V2 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 9.38% · n=45
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 48d 23h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Dangjin Citizen FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Dangjin Citizen FCGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

77/100
Excellent value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds4.33First seen
Current4.58Now
Max odds4.58Highest point
Min odds4.33Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Yongin FCHOME
VS
Dangjin Citizen FCAWAY
LDWDD
Recent form
WDWWD
Avg goals scored
1.00
2.20
Defensive weakness
1.20
0.80
Shots on target for
2.80
5.00
SoT conceded pressure
3.20
4.40
Home splitL-D-D-D-L0.60 scored / 1.20 conceded
Away splitW-W-L-L-D1.40 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 4.33. The V2 confidence band is ELITE with an expected ROI of 9.38% based on n=45 historical similar picks. The match belongs to South Korea Cup (kr). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick2
Odd4.33
V2 BandELITEROI 9.38% · n=45
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

Despite entering the match at a generous price, Dangjin Citizen FC has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. Comparable matches classified within the ELITE confidence range have historically generated positive model outcomes. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Dangjin Citizen FC's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: -11.9% 7D: 12.9% 15D: 24.5% 30D: 16.6%
Model insight

Yongin FC – Dangjin Citizen FC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 4.33. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is ELITE, with a historical expected ROI of 9.38% across 45 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample19
Win Rate36.8%
Profit+11.46u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
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WINWerder Bremen - Auxerre4.339.38%
LOSSAtalanta - Athletic Bilbao4.109.91%
LOSSComerciantes FC - Bentin Tacna Heroica4.209.91%
WINRamsgate - Leatherhead4.509.38%
WINWarta Sieradz - Mlawianka Mlawa4.209.91%
LOSSRoPS - PK Keski-Uusimaa4.339.38%
Pick
2 @ 4.33
Kickoff
Lug 15, 2026 2:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: ELITE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 9.38% • n=45
Start
Started 48d 12h ago
Updated
Updated 48d 23h ago
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