Model: TIPPSA

Coritiba U20 vs Atletico Mineiro U20

PREDICTION

@ 2.23

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffGiu 17, 2026 10:00 PM

ResultWIN0 - 1

StartStarted 45d 21h ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.21% · n=228

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.21% · n=228

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 45d 23h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Atletico Mineiro U20. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Atletico Mineiro U20Goal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

32/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.40First seen

Current2.40Now

Max odds2.63Highest point

Min odds2.40Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Coritiba U20HOME

Atletico Mineiro U20AWAY

LWDDD

Recent form

WWLDW

Avg goals scored

0.80

2.40

Defensive weakness

0.80

0.60

Shots on target for

2.80

5.80

SoT conceded pressure

3.60

2.40

Home splitL-W-D-W-W1.00 scored / 0.40 conceded

Away splitW-L-W-W-L2.40 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.23. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.21% based on n=228 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Campeonato Brasileiro Serie B U20 (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with High volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.23

V2 BandLOWROI 1.21% · n=228

V4 BandLOWROI 1.21% · n=228

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Atletico Mineiro U20's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: 5.4% 7D: -10.2% 15D: -3.1% 30D: 8.8%

Model insight

Coritiba U20 – Atletico Mineiro U20 Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.23. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.21% and 1.21%. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample120

Win Rate50.8%

Profit+10.79u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Brommapojkarna - Malmo FF	2.08	1.21%
LOSS	Estrela - Al-Nassr Riyadh	2.23	1.21%
LOSS	FK Ekranas - FK Zalgiris Vilnius II	2.37	0.84%
LOSS	Carina Gubin - Miedz Legnica II	2.19	1.21%
WIN	Sandviken - Kvik Halden FK	2.33	0.84%
WIN	Coritiba - Cruzeiro	2.34	0.84%
LOSS	Hradec Kralove - Tromso	2.11	1.21%
LOSS	Amazonas FC - Paysandu	2.15	1.21%

Pick

2 @ 2.23

Kickoff

Giu 17, 2026 10:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.21% • n=228

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.21% • n=228

Start

Started 45d 21h ago

Updated

Updated 45d 23h ago