Bentleigh Greens vs South Melbourne
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is South Melbourne. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: South MelbourneGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.25. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.27% based on n=1151 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia NPL Victoria (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to South Melbourne's attacking profile.
Bentleigh Greens – South Melbourne Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | IFK Berga - IFK Trelleborg | 2.35 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | Stockport - Preston | 2.20 | 3.75% |
| LOSS | Cove Rangers - Airdrieonians | 2.25 | 4.27% |
| WIN | Ruthin Town FC - Holyhead Hotspur | 2.45 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | SV Leobendorf - Parndorf | 2.40 | 4.27% |
| WIN | Burgan SC - Al-Jazeera KWT | 2.15 | 3.75% |
| WIN | Pachuca U19 (W) - Toluca U19 (W) | 2.30 | 4.27% |
| WIN | Dominican Republic (W) - El Salvador (W) | 2.40 | 4.27% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATSV Wolfsberg - Wolfsberger AC | 2 | 2.15 | 3.75% | 31 Jul 19:00 |
| Al Nejmeh - Al Ansar Beirut | 2 | 2.30 | 4.27% | 01 Aug 20:30 |
| FC Vsetin - Sigma Olomouc B | 2 | 2.10 | 3.75% | 02 Aug 17:00 |