Creteil – Paris 13 Atletico

Model: TipTromba45H

Creteil vs Paris 13 Atletico

PREDICTION
1
@ 4.00
StatusUpcoming
KickoffLug 28, 2026 8:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 1h 34m
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=258
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=258
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 6h 47m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Creteil. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: CreteilGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.060 | A: 0.106

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Balanced

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

59/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

CreteilHOME
VS
Paris 13 AtleticoAWAY
LWWWD
Recent form
LWWLD
Avg goals scored
1.40
1.80
Defensive weakness
0.60
1.60
Shots on target for
3.40
4.00
SoT conceded pressure
3.80
4.40
Home splitW-W-L-W1.50 scored / 0.75 conceded
Away splitL-W-W-L-D1.60 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 4.00. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.86% based on n=258 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Europe Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1
Odd4.00
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.86% · n=258
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.86% · n=258
Odds TrendStable
VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -26.4% 7D: -2.1% 15D: 11.0% 30D: 15.7%
Model insight

Creteil – Paris 13 Atletico Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 4.00. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba45H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.86% and 4.86%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample38
Win Rate18.4%
Profit-9.80u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSSt Johnstone (W) - Livingston (W)4.204.86%
LOSSCD Nueva Santa Cruz - Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz4.004.86%
LOSSBronshoj BK - Hellerup IK4.002.97%
LOSSBolton - Everton4.004.86%
WINFrem - Fremad Amager4.004.86%
LOSSHorsholm-Usserod IK - FC Roskilde4.004.86%
LOSSSK Stonava - Polanka4.004.86%
LOSSTJ Tatran Bohunice - CSK Uhersky Brod4.004.86%
Pick
1 @ 4.00
Kickoff
Lug 28, 2026 8:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.86% • n=258
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.86% • n=258
Start
Starts in 1h 34m
Updated
Updated 6h 47m ago
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