CSA – Sao Luiz

Model: TipTromba2H

CSA vs Sao Luiz

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.53
StatusUpcoming
KickoffLug 26, 2026 11:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 2d 17h
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.38% · n=1115
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 12m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is CSA. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: CSAGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.076 | A: 0.033

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

6/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.55First seen
Current1.55Now
Max odds1.56Highest point
Min odds1.53Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

CSAHOME
VS
Sao LuizAWAY
DWLWD
Recent form
DWLDD
Avg goals scored
1.40
1.00
Defensive weakness
0.40
1.00
Shots on target for
4.60
3.80
SoT conceded pressure
2.20
3.40
Home splitW-W-D-D-W2.00 scored / 0.40 conceded
Away splitL-D-D-L-W0.60 scored / 0.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.53. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -3.38% based on n=1115 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Serie D (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.53
V2 BandNONEROI -3.38% · n=1115
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendStable
VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The market strongly favors CSA, and recent form broadly confirms the direction of the price. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: -9.8% 7D: 35.3% 15D: 21.2% 30D: 23.8%
Model insight

CSA – Sao Luiz Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.53. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba2H model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -3.38% across 1115 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample403
Win Rate64.0%
Profit+11.53u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
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WINBrasil de Pelotas - Gramadense1.73-1.89%
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WINSKN St Polten (W) - Slovacko (W)1.50-1.89%
WINRangers - St Etienne1.62-3.38%
WINMerthyr Town - Briton Ferry1.53-3.38%
WINLugano - KF Dukagjini1.50-3.38%
WINJK Trans Narva II - Parnu JK Vaprus II1.53-1.89%
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Pick
1 @ 1.53
Kickoff
Lug 26, 2026 11:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -3.38% • n=1115
Start
Starts in 2d 17h
Updated
Updated 12m ago
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