Lugano vs KF Dukagjini
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Lugano. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: LuganoGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.001 | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.50. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -3.38% based on n=1115 historical similar picks. The match belongs to UEFA Conference League Qualifying. Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
The odds suggest a clear favorite, although the recent form gap is not as dominant as the price might imply. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.
Lugano – KF Dukagjini Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | JK Trans Narva II - Parnu JK Vaprus II | 1.53 | -1.89% |
| LOSS | FC Levadia Tallinn U19 - FA Tartu Kalev | 1.73 | -3.82% |
| LOSS | Santa Cruz Acre U20 - Independencia FC U20 | 1.62 | -3.82% |
| LOSS | GKS Tychy 71 - MSK Povazska Bystrica | 1.73 | -1.89% |
| WIN | NEC - Al Fayha | 1.67 | -3.82% |
| LOSS | Club Aurora - Oriente Petrolero | 1.62 | -3.38% |
| LOSS | Shanghai Port U20 - Shandong Taishan U20 | 1.50 | -3.38% |
| WIN | Viimsi JK (W) - Saku Sporting (W) | 1.70 | -1.89% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca - Unam Pumas | 1 | 1.70 | -1.89% | 22 Jul 05:00 |