CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Partizan Belgrade
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Partizan Belgrade. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Partizan BelgradeValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.10. The V2 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 5.52% based on n=654 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Europe Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
The elevated odds reflect a naturally higher-risk profile, especially because recent form does not clearly favor Partizan Belgrade. The HIGH confidence band is important here: similar higher-priced setups have historically produced positive model results. Partizan Belgrade has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
CSKA 1948 Sofia – Partizan Belgrade Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Universidad de Concepcion (W) - Deportes Iquique (W) | 2.90 | 5.52% |
| WIN | Smedby AIS - IFK Haninge | 3.00 | 5.52% |
| LOSS | FC Gareji - SFC Shturmi | 3.00 | 5.52% |
| LOSS | Nara United - Uttaradit FC | 2.88 | 5.52% |
| LOSS | Itabirito U20 - Nacional de Muriae U20 | 3.10 | 5.52% |
| LOSS | Viettel FC - Cong An Ha Noi | 2.90 | 5.52% |
| LOSS | CD Moron U20 - CA San Telmo U20 | 3.00 | 5.52% |
| LOSS | Minneapolis City SC - Sueno | 3.20 | 5.52% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independiente Chivilcoy - CA Douglas Haig | 2 | 3.00 | 5.52% | 28 Jun 22:00 |