Itabirito U20 – Nacional de Muriae U20

Model: TIPPSA

Itabirito U20 vs Nacional de Muriae U20

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.25
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 12, 2026 5:00 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 2
StartStarted 53d 8h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.84% · n=717
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -2.09% · n=286
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 53d 10h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Nacional de Muriae U20. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Nacional de Muriae U20Goal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

20/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.10First seen
Current2.40Now
Max odds3.14Highest point
Min odds2.40Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Itabirito U20HOME
VS
Nacional de Muriae U20AWAY
DWWLW
Recent form
DDWDD
Avg goals scored
1.20
1.00
Defensive weakness
1.00
0.80
Shots on target for
6.00
7.40
SoT conceded pressure
4.20
4.00
Home splitD-W-W-W1.75 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitD-D-D0.67 scored / 0.67 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.25. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -2.09% based on n=286 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Campeonato Mineiro U20 (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.25
V2 BandLOWROI 0.84% · n=717
V4 BandNONEROI -2.09% · n=286
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Nacional de Muriae U20 is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 34.8% 7D: 1.0% 15D: 0.0% 30D: 15.2%
Model insight

Itabirito U20 – Nacional de Muriae U20 Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.25. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.84% across 717 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -2.09% across 286 historical samples. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample123
Win Rate50.4%
Profit+10.28u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSLarne FC - FC Iberia 19992.231.76%
LOSSWexford FC - Bray Wanderers2.280.84%
WINBrommapojkarna - Malmo FF2.081.21%
LOSSEstrela - Al-Nassr Riyadh2.231.21%
LOSSFK Ekranas - FK Zalgiris Vilnius II2.370.84%
LOSSCarina Gubin - Miedz Legnica II2.191.21%
WINSandviken - Kvik Halden FK2.330.84%
WINCoritiba - Cruzeiro2.340.84%
Pick
2 @ 2.25
Kickoff
Giu 12, 2026 5:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 0.84% • n=717
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-2.09% • n=286
Start
Started 53d 8h ago
Updated
Updated 53d 10h ago
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