Model: TipA1
Dandenong Thunder U23 – St Albans Saints U23
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.55
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 16, 2026 7:00 AM
ResultWIN0 - 3
StartStarted 10d 17h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.99% · n=449
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.99% · n=449
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 11d 3h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Dandenong Thunder U23 | St Albans Saints U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-L-L-L-W | W-D-L-L-W |
| Avg goals scored | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Avg goals conceded | 3.20 | 1.20 |
| Home/Away form | L-L-L (home) | W-L-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.00 scored / 4.33 conceded | 1.67 scored / 1.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 4.80 for / 10.60 against | 6.40 for / 5.00 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 5.33 for / 10.00 against (home) | 9.50 for / 1.50 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. St Albans Saints U23 is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.55First seen
Current2.61Now
Max odds2.61Highest point
Min odds2.55Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Dandenong Thunder U23 – St Albans Saints U23 Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.55. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.99% and 4.99%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample119
Win Rate37.0%
Profit-9.88u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | HK/Ymir Kopavogur U19 - Thor/THK/Volsungur U19 | 2.40 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | KS Sniadowo - Supraslanka Suprasl | 2.35 | 4.27% |
| WIN | SV Estrella - SV River Plate | 2.70 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | Independencia - Galvez AC | 2.50 | 4.27% |
| WIN | Sportivo Luqueno - Olimpia Asuncion | 2.35 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | NK Krsko - ND Gorica | 2.50 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | Phu Dong FC - Da Nang II | 2.45 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | Newmarket - Moggill | 2.60 | 4.27% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mjällby AIF - Djurgarden | 2 | 2.70 | 4.27% | 31 May 16:30 |
Pick
2 @ 2.55
Kickoff
Mag 16, 2026 7:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.99% • n=449
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.99% • n=449
Start
Started 10d 17h ago
Updated
Updated 11d 3h ago