Model: TipA1
Newmarket – Moggill
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.60
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 23, 2026 12:15 PM
ResultLOSS7 - 0
StartStarted 3d 12h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.27% · n=1151
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 4d 1h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Newmarket | Moggill |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-W-W-W-W | L-L-W-L-W |
| Avg goals scored | 3.20 | 2.80 |
| Avg goals conceded | 0.60 | 2.80 |
| Home/Away form | W-W (home) | L-L-L-D-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 5.50 scored / 0.50 conceded | 1.20 scored / 3.60 conceded |
| Shots on target | 8.80 for / 6.00 against | 11.00 for / 4.40 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 22.00 for / 4.00 against (home) | 8.67 for / 5.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The elevated odds reflect a naturally higher-risk profile, especially because recent form does not clearly favor Moggill. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Moggill has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.60First seen
Current2.66Now
Max odds2.66Highest point
Min odds2.60Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Newmarket – Moggill Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.60. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.27% across 1151 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample103
Win Rate36.9%
Profit-7.68u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | HK/Ymir Kopavogur U19 - Thor/THK/Volsungur U19 | 2.40 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | KS Sniadowo - Supraslanka Suprasl | 2.35 | 4.27% |
| WIN | SV Estrella - SV River Plate | 2.70 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | Independencia - Galvez AC | 2.50 | 4.27% |
| WIN | Sportivo Luqueno - Olimpia Asuncion | 2.35 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | NK Krsko - ND Gorica | 2.50 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | Phu Dong FC - Da Nang II | 2.45 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | Polonia Sroda Slaska - Prochowiczanka Prochowice | 2.50 | 4.27% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mjällby AIF - Djurgarden | 2 | 2.70 | 4.27% | 31 May 16:30 |
Pick
2 @ 2.60
Kickoff
Mag 23, 2026 12:15 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.27% • n=1151
Start
Started 3d 12h ago
Updated
Updated 4d 1h ago