Dangjin Citizen FC vs Changwon City
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Dangjin Citizen FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Dangjin Citizen FCGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.30. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.14% based on n=423 historical similar picks. The match belongs to South Korea K3 League (kr). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.
AI Match Insight
The elevated odds reflect a naturally higher-risk profile, especially because recent form does not clearly favor Dangjin Citizen FC. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction.
Dangjin Citizen FC – Changwon City Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Central Espanol Reserves - Liverpool Montevideo Reserves | 3.25 | 3.56% |
| LOSS | Ekhaya FC - Big Bullets | 3.25 | 4.14% |
| LOSS | Tadotsu FC - Lavenirosso NC | 3.40 | 3.56% |
| LOSS | Fluminense PI U20 - CA Piauiense U20 | 3.25 | 3.56% |
| LOSS | Wisloka Debica - Widzew Lodz II | 3.30 | 4.14% |
| LOSS | Moravia Morawica - Star Starachowice | 3.10 | 3.85% |
| LOSS | Deportivo Paraguayo Reserves - Sportivo Barracas Reserves | 3.40 | 4.14% |
| LOSS | Merthyr Town - Yeovil | 3.25 | 3.56% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Levante U20 - Morocco U20 | 1 | 3.30 | 3.56% | 21 Jul 22:45 |
| Dunkerque - Samsunspor | 1 | 3.40 | 3.56% | 22 Jul 14:00 |
| Algeria (W) - Zambia (W) | 1 | 3.25 | 4.14% | 22 Jul 18:00 |