Merthyr Town vs Yeovil
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Merthyr Town. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Merthyr TownValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.87. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.53% based on n=669 historical similar picks. The match belongs to UK Friendlies (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Merthyr Town has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Merthyr Town – Yeovil Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Fredrikstad - Lillestrom | 2.89 | 2.04% |
| WIN | San Diego Wave (W) - NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) | 2.89 | 4.53% |
| LOSS | Las Vegas Lights FC - El Paso Locomotive FC | 2.84 | 4.53% |
| LOSS | Vikingur Gota - NSI Runavik | 2.76 | 2.04% |
| WIN | Delaware FC - Real Central NJ | 2.80 | 4.53% |
| LOSS | FC Struga Trim & Lum - FC Dinamo City | 2.99 | 4.53% |
| LOSS | Eastern Suburbs Auckland - Birkenhead United | 2.79 | 4.53% |
| LOSS | Renaissance Zemamra - OC Safi | 2.85 | 4.53% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami FC - Indy Eleven | 1 | 2.79 | 4.53% | 16 Jul 01:00 |
| Seongnam FC - Busan I Park | 1 | 3.01 | 4.53% | 18 Jul 12:30 |