Darwin Hearts vs Port Darwin FC
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Port Darwin FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Port Darwin FCValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.20. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -3.85% based on n=318 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia Darwin Premier League (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives Port Darwin FC a useful statistical edge. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Port Darwin FC's attacking profile.
Darwin Hearts – Port Darwin FC Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Academia Deportiva Cantolao - CD Universidad San Martin | 2.10 | -3.85% |
| WIN | Deportivo Binacional - Cienciano | 2.20 | -1.48% |
| WIN | Figueirense U20 - Criciuma U20 | 2.15 | -1.48% |
| WIN | Futuro FC - Malleco Unido | 2.00 | -1.48% |
| LOSS | Beijing Institute - Dalian Young Boy Reserves | 2.10 | -1.48% |
| LOSS | Veertien Mie (W) - FC Osaka Speranza (W) | 2.05 | -3.85% |
| WIN | Hässleholms IF - Trelleborgs FF | 2.00 | -3.85% |
| LOSS | IFK Stocksund - Sollentuna United FF | 2.00 | -1.48% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton de Vina - Universidad Catolica | 2 | 2.05 | -1.48% | 24 Jun 02:30 |
| Kahibah FC - Adamstown Rosebud | 2 | 2.10 | -1.48% | 24 Jun 12:00 |