Model: TipA1

Everton de Vina vs Universidad Catolica

PREDICTION

@ 2.05

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffGiu 24, 2026 4:30 AM

ResultWIN1 - 3

StartStarted 44d 19h ago

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.48% · n=691

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 46d 20h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Universidad Catolica. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Universidad CatolicaGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

20/100

Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.05First seen

Current2.06Now

Max odds2.06Highest point

Min odds2.05Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Everton de VinaHOME

Universidad CatolicaAWAY

LDLWW

Recent form

WWWWW

Avg goals scored

1.60

3.80

Defensive weakness

1.80

0.60

Shots on target for

5.60

7.20

SoT conceded pressure

5.60

3.20

Home splitL-D-L-D-D1.40 scored / 2.00 conceded

Away splitW-W-W-W-W2.40 scored / 0.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.05. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.48% based on n=691 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Chile Cup (cl). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.05

V2 BandNONEROI -1.48% · n=691

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives Universidad Catolica a useful statistical edge. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Universidad Catolica's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -21.8% 7D: 1.5% 15D: 2.2% 30D: -0.9%

Model insight

Everton de Vina – Universidad Catolica Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.05. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -1.48% across 691 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample196

Win Rate48.5%

Profit+1.20u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Räppe GOIF - IFK Berga	2.05	-1.48%
LOSS	Talleres Remedios Reserves - Nueva Chicago Reserves	2.20	-1.48%
LOSS	KuPS Kuopio - CS U Craiova	2.15	-1.48%
LOSS	Galtabäcks BK - Qviding FIF	2.10	-3.85%
LOSS	Leandro N. Alem Reserves - Puerto Nuevo Reserves	2.00	-1.48%
WIN	Marquense - CSD Municipal	2.15	-3.85%
WIN	Bromley - QPR	2.05	-3.85%
WIN	SJK Akatemia II - GBK	2.10	-1.48%

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Pick

2 @ 2.05

Kickoff

Giu 24, 2026 4:30 AM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -1.48% • n=691

Start

Started 44d 19h ago

Updated

Updated 46d 20h ago