Model: TIPPSH
Defensor Sporting Reserves – Albion FC Reserves
PREDICTION
1
@ 1.86
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 18, 2026 4:30 PM
ResultWIN1 - 0
StartStarted 8d 9h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.31% · n=212
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.31% · n=212
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 8d 11h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Defensor Sporting Reserves | Albion FC Reserves |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-D-D-L-W | L-W-D-L-L |
| Avg goals scored | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| Avg goals conceded | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Home/Away form | W-D-W (home) | L-W-L-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 2.33 scored / 0.67 conceded | 0.50 scored / 1.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 4.60 for / 2.60 against | 1.80 for / 6.40 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 6.67 for / 2.33 against (home) | 2.25 for / 6.25 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives Defensor Sporting Reserves a useful statistical edge. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Defensor Sporting Reserves's attacking profile.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.73First seen
Current1.82Now
Max odds1.83Highest point
Min odds1.73Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Defensor Sporting Reserves – Albion FC Reserves Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.86. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.31% and 4.31%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample261
Win Rate53.3%
Profit+5.42u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Varnsdorf - Mladá Boleslav B | 1.89 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | South Melbourne - Auckland FC II | 1.84 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Jadran Dekani - NK Krka | 1.91 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | North Sunshine Eagles - Langwarrin | 1.75 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | CFR Cluj - FC Arges Pitesti | 1.85 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | Imisli - FK Karvan | 1.80 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Kalmar FF - Degerfors | 1.95 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Nacional Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion | 2.11 | 3.37% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz | 1 | 1.98 | 4.86% | 09 May 13:00 |
| FC Spartak Trnava - MSK Zilina | 1 | 1.93 | 2.30% | 10 May 19:00 |
Pick
1 @ 1.86
Kickoff
Mag 18, 2026 4:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.31% • n=212
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.31% • n=212
Start
Started 8d 9h ago
Updated
Updated 8d 11h ago