Model: TIPPSH
Nacional Asuncion – Libertad Asuncion
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.28
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 25, 2026 12:00 AM
ResultWIN2 - 1
StartStarted 2d 2h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.41% · n=109
V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.41% · n=109
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 2d 4h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Nacional Asuncion | Libertad Asuncion |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-D-W-W-W | L-L-D-W-L |
| Avg goals scored | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Avg goals conceded | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Home/Away form | W-W-W-D (home) | L-L-W-L-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.50 scored / 0.75 conceded | 1.00 scored / 2.40 conceded |
| Shots on target | 5.20 for / 1.80 against | 2.60 for / 4.80 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 4.75 for / 2.50 against (home) | 3.40 for / 6.20 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors Nacional Asuncion. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Nacional Asuncion has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.08First seen
Current2.28Now
Max odds2.45Highest point
Min odds2.08Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Nacional Asuncion – Libertad Asuncion Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.28. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.41% and 1.41%. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample43
Win Rate51.2%
Profit+6.08u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Deportivo Muniz - Fenix | 2.25 | 1.59% |
| WIN | FC Levadia Tallinn U21 - JK Nomme United II | 2.47 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | Rabotnicki Skopje - Tikves Kavadarci | 2.19 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Granat Skarzysko-Kamienna - Wierna Malogoszcz | 2.10 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | Escobar FC - Independiente Chivilcoy | 2.32 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | TPS U21 - FC Honka U21 | 2.08 | 1.04% |
| WIN | CA Alvarado - Olimpo B Blanca | 2.23 | 1.04% |
| WIN | FK Kauno Zalgiris II - FK Siauliai II | 2.05 | 1.31% |
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| Quilmes - Atletico Rafaela | 1 | 2.21 | 1.04% | 31 May 22:00 |
Pick
1 @ 2.28
Kickoff
Mag 25, 2026 12:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.41% • n=109
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
1.41% • n=109
Start
Started 2d 2h ago
Updated
Updated 2d 4h ago