Model: TipTromba9H
Defensores Del Ilucan (W) – FBC Melgar (W)
PREDICTION
1
@ 8.00
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 26, 2026 10:00 PM
ResultWIN3 - 2
StartStarted 30d 11h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.74% · n=79
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 30d 23h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Defensores Del Ilucan (W) | FBC Melgar (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W | L |
| Avg goals scored | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| Home/Away form | W (home) | L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 3.00 scored / 2.00 conceded | 2.00 scored / 3.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 6.00 for / 10.00 against | 10.00 for / 6.00 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 6.00 for / 10.00 against (home) | 10.00 for / 6.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds8.00First seen
Current9.05Now
Max odds9.05Highest point
Min odds8.00Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Defensores Del Ilucan (W) – FBC Melgar (W) Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 8.00. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba9H model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.74% across 79 similar predictions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample20
Win Rate20.0%
Profit+12.00u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Ho Chi Minh City - Truong Tuoi Dong Nai | 8.00 | 1.07% |
| LOSS | Türkiye Beach - Belarus Beach | 8.00 | 1.07% |
| LOSS | 07 Vestur - NSI Runavik | 8.00 | 0.52% |
| LOSS | Mashujaa FC - Simba Sports Club | 8.00 | 0.74% |
| WIN | Tensung FC - Transport United FC | 8.00 | 0.74% |
| LOSS | Bahrain SC - Al-Najma Manama | 8.00 | 0.52% |
| LOSS | Upper Hutt City - Wellington Olympic | 8.00 | 0.52% |
| LOSS | Strabane Athletic (W) - St. James Swifts (W) | 8.00 | 0.74% |
Pick
1 @ 8.00
Kickoff
Apr 26, 2026 10:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 0.74% • n=79
Start
Started 30d 11h ago
Updated
Updated 30d 23h ago