Model: TipTromba4H
Sao Domingos AL – Desportivo Alianca AL U23
PREDICTION
1
@ 3.75
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 26, 2026 10:00 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 6
StartStarted 30d 11h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.06% · n=214
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.06% · n=214
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 30d 21h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Sao Domingos AL | Desportivo Alianca AL U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-L-D-L | W-L-D-L |
| Avg goals scored | 0.50 | 2.25 |
| Avg goals conceded | 3.25 | 2.75 |
| Home/Away form | L-D (home) | W-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.00 scored / 3.00 conceded | 3.50 scored / 2.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 8.00 for / 11.00 against | 6.50 for / 8.00 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 8.00 for / 11.00 against (home) | 11.00 for / 8.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Sao Domingos AL has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.50First seen
Current3.75Now
Max odds3.75Highest point
Min odds2.50Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Sao Domingos AL – Desportivo Alianca AL U23 Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.75. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba4H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.06% and 4.06%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample46
Win Rate30.4%
Profit+6.45u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | BK Astrio - Landvetter IS | 3.80 | 4.09% |
| WIN | Hibernian (W) - Hearts (W) | 3.60 | 4.85% |
| LOSS | Sao Jose PA - Marcilio Dias | 3.50 | 4.85% |
| LOSS | Niigata University H&W - Toyama Shinjo Club | 3.90 | 4.09% |
| LOSS | Nelson Suburbs - Ferrymead Bays | 3.50 | 3.99% |
| WIN | Araz FK - Zira IK | 3.60 | 4.85% |
| LOSS | Mid Ulster (W) - Ballymena Utd (W) | 3.60 | 3.99% |
| LOSS | Hellenic AC - Port Darwin FC | 3.80 | 4.09% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seoul Amazones (W) - Incheon Red Angels (W) | 1 | 3.70 | 3.99% | 27 May 12:00 |
| Ha Noi (W) - TP HCM (W) | 1 | 3.60 | 4.85% | 27 May 14:00 |
Pick
1 @ 3.75
Kickoff
Apr 26, 2026 10:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.06% • n=214
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.06% • n=214
Start
Started 30d 11h ago
Updated
Updated 30d 21h ago