Deportivo Liniers – Villa Dalmine

Model: TipTromba5H

Deportivo Liniers vs Villa Dalmine

PREDICTION
1
@ 4.75
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 31, 2026 7:30 PM
ResultWIN1 - 0
StartStarted 49d 6h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.13% · n=87
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.13% · n=87
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 50d 7h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Deportivo Liniers. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Deportivo LiniersGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

42/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.20First seen
Current4.75Now
Max odds5.01Highest point
Min odds3.20Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Deportivo LiniersHOME
VS
Villa DalmineAWAY
WDLDW
Recent form
LLDDW
Avg goals scored
0.60
0.80
Defensive weakness
0.80
0.80
Shots on target for
3.00
1.60
SoT conceded pressure
2.40
3.00
Home splitW-D-L-W-L0.40 scored / 0.40 conceded
Away splitL-L-D-W-D0.80 scored / 0.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 4.75. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.13% based on n=87 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Argentina Primera B Metropolitana (ar). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd4.75
V2 BandNONEROI -1.13% · n=87
V4 BandNONEROI -1.13% · n=87
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Deportivo Liniers has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 16.2% 7D: 10.5% 15D: 21.6% 30D: 9.9%
Model insight

Deportivo Liniers – Villa Dalmine Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 4.75. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba5H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -1.13% and -1.13%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample27
Win Rate14.8%
Profit-8.00u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINKamuzu Barracks - Blue Eagles4.75-0.67%
LOSSWest Adelaide Reserves - Sturt Lions Reserves4.75-0.67%
LOSSLinfield - Aberdeen4.75-0.67%
LOSSBalzan FC - Valletta4.80-0.67%
LOSSCity Lads FC (W) - First Touch Academy (W)4.75-1.13%
LOSSShkendija Tetovo - Hajduk Split4.75-1.13%
LOSSAtletico Sucre - Universitario de Sucre4.75-1.13%
LOSSUniversidad Catolica del Ecuador (W) - LDU Quito (W)4.75-1.13%
Pick
1 @ 4.75
Kickoff
Mag 31, 2026 7:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -1.13% • n=87
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-1.13% • n=87
Start
Started 49d 6h ago
Updated
Updated 50d 7h ago
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