Linfield vs Aberdeen
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Linfield. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: LinfieldValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 4.75. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -0.67% based on n=99 historical similar picks. The match belongs to UK Friendlies (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The market prices Linfield as an outsider, but recent form does not suggest a gap wide enough to completely dismiss the selection. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Linfield has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Linfield – Aberdeen Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | City Lads FC (W) - First Touch Academy (W) | 4.75 | -1.13% |
| LOSS | Shkendija Tetovo - Hajduk Split | 4.75 | -1.13% |
| LOSS | Atletico Sucre - Universitario de Sucre | 4.75 | -1.13% |
| LOSS | Universidad Catolica del Ecuador (W) - LDU Quito (W) | 4.75 | -1.13% |
| LOSS | Stranraer - Larne FC | 4.75 | -1.13% |
| LOSS | Shenzhen Juniors - Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 4.75 | -1.13% |
| WIN | Sao Jose MA - Tupan MA | 4.75 | -1.13% |
| WIN | Samgurali - FC Iberia 1999 | 4.75 | -1.13% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balzan FC - Valletta | 1 | 4.80 | -0.67% | 11 Jul 18:15 |