Dnepr Mogilev – Neman Grodno

Model: TIPPSH

Dnepr Mogilev vs Neman Grodno

PREDICTION
1
@ 4.91
StatusUpcoming
KickoffGiu 28, 2026 7:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 1d 17h
V2 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 8.57% · n=57
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 12m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Dnepr Mogilev. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Dnepr Mogilev

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

77/100
Excellent value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds4.16First seen
Current4.91Now
Max odds4.91Highest point
Min odds4.16Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Dnepr MogilevHOME
VS
Neman GrodnoAWAY
DLWLL
Recent form
LLWLW
Avg goals scored
1.00
1.40
Defensive weakness
0.80
1.80
Shots on target for
4.40
2.80
SoT conceded pressure
2.20
3.40
Home splitD-W-L-W-D1.60 scored / 0.40 conceded
Away splitW-W-L-D-W1.20 scored / 0.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 4.91. The V2 confidence band is ELITE with an expected ROI of 8.57% based on n=57 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Belarus Premier League (by). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd4.91
V2 BandELITEROI 8.57% · n=57
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The current odds underline the speculative nature of the pick, particularly given the recent form imbalance. The ELITE confidence band is important here: similar higher-priced setups have historically produced positive model results. Dnepr Mogilev is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: 9.5% 7D: -11.7% 15D: -5.8% 30D: -1.8%
Model insight

Dnepr Mogilev – Neman Grodno Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 4.91. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is ELITE, with a historical expected ROI of 8.57% across 57 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample2
Win Rate0.0%
Profit-2.00u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSNiigata University H&W - Japan Soccer College5.1210.23%
LOSSMiddelfart - B93 Copenhagen5.098.57%
Pick
1 @ 4.91
Kickoff
Giu 28, 2026 7:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: ELITE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 8.57% • n=57
Start
Starts in 1d 17h
Updated
Updated 12m ago
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