Shahrdari Noshahr – Mes Kerman

Model: TipA1

Shahrdari Noshahr vs Mes Kerman

PREDICTION
2
@ 3.25
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 27, 2026 7:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 45d 22h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.74% · n=189
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 46d 10h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Mes Kerman. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Mes KermanGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

24/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.20First seen
Current3.25Now
Max odds3.29Highest point
Min odds2.20Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Shahrdari NoshahrHOME
VS
Mes KermanAWAY
DDDLD
Recent form
DDDDW
Avg goals scored
0.60
1.00
Defensive weakness
0.80
0.60
Shots on target for
4.40
5.40
SoT conceded pressure
2.80
3.20
Home splitD-D-L-D0.25 scored / 0.75 conceded
Away splitD-D-W-D1.00 scored / 0.50 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.25. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -3.74% based on n=189 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Iran Div 1 (ir). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd3.25
V2 BandNONEROI -3.74% · n=189
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Despite entering the match at a generous price, Mes Kerman has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Mes Kerman is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -25.1% 7D: -24.5% 15D: -11.7% 30D: -4.6%
Model insight

Shahrdari Noshahr – Mes Kerman Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.25. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -3.74% across 189 similar predictions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample26
Win Rate11.5%
Profit-15.85u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSOriente Petrolero - Nacional Potosi3.50-3.74%
LOSSHapoel Petah Tikva - Maccabi Petah Tikva3.40-0.53%
LOSSRemo - Vitoria3.30-0.53%
LOSSTuggeranong Utd - Belconnen United3.50-3.74%
LOSSRKC Third Coast - Chicago Dutch Lions3.30-3.74%
LOSSSol de America de Formosa - San Martin Formosa3.50-3.74%
WINStade Marocain Du Rabat - Widad Temara3.50-3.74%
LOSSAfturelding - Njardvik3.50-3.74%
Pick
2 @ 3.25
Kickoff
Giu 27, 2026 7:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -3.74% • n=189
Start
Started 45d 22h ago
Updated
Updated 46d 10h ago
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