Dundalk – Shelbourne

Model: TIPPSH

Dundalk – Shelbourne

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.58
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 01, 2026 10:45 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 2
StartStarted 25d 2h ago
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.90% · n=238
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.90% · n=238
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 25d 7h ago

Team Form & Goal Trends

Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.

Metric Dundalk Shelbourne
Last 5 form L-L-W-W-D W-L-L-L-L
Avg goals scored 1.60 1.80
Avg goals conceded 1.60 2.60
Home/Away form L-W-W-D-W (home) W-L-L (away)
Home/Away avg goals 2.00 scored / 1.20 conceded 1.67 scored / 2.33 conceded
Shots on target 7.00 for / 3.40 against 4.80 for / 6.00 against
Home/Away shots on target 8.00 for / 3.40 against (home) 4.00 for / 6.67 against (away)

AI Match Insight

Despite entering the match at a generous price, Dundalk has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. Historical model performance remains supportive, with similar HIGH underdog setups showing encouraging long-term results. Dundalk is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.16First seen
Current2.58Now
Max odds2.58Highest point
Min odds2.16Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight

Dundalk – Shelbourne Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.58. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 6.90% and 6.90%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample11
Win Rate27.3%
Profit-3.49u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSFC Copenhagen - Midtjylland2.516.90%
LOSSAl-Arabi Al-Saudi - Al Jandal2.636.90%
LOSSFK Blansko - SK Unicov2.456.90%
LOSSOperario PR - Chapecoense2.346.90%
WINAl Hamriyah - Al Fujairah2.456.90%
LOSSEscola Varsovia U19 - Lech Poznan U192.706.90%
LOSSJuazeirense - ASA2.406.90%
WINFulham United FC - Adelaide Comets2.436.90%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
LKS Lodz II - OKS Swit Skolwin12.356.90%08 May 17:00
Pick
1 @ 2.58
Kickoff
Mag 01, 2026 10:45 PM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 6.90% • n=238
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
6.90% • n=238
Start
Started 25d 2h ago
Updated
Updated 25d 7h ago
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