Model: TIPPSH

Dundalk vs Shelbourne

PREDICTION

@ 2.58

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 01, 2026 10:45 PM

ResultLOSS1 - 2

StartStarted 71d 2h ago

V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.90% · n=238

V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.90% · n=238

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 71d 6h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Dundalk. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Dundalk

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

55/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.16First seen

Current2.58Now

Max odds2.58Highest point

Min odds2.16Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

DundalkHOME

ShelbourneAWAY

LLWWD

Recent form

WLLLL

Avg goals scored

1.60

1.80

Defensive weakness

1.60

2.60

Shots on target for

7.00

4.80

SoT conceded pressure

3.40

6.00

Home splitL-W-W-D-W2.00 scored / 1.20 conceded

Away splitW-L-L1.67 scored / 2.33 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.58. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.90% based on n=238 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Republic of Ireland Premier Division (ie). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.58

V2 BandHIGHROI 6.90% · n=238

V4 BandHIGHROI 6.90% · n=238

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Despite entering the match at a generous price, Dundalk has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. Historical model performance remains supportive, with similar HIGH underdog setups showing encouraging long-term results. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Dundalk's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 24.1% 7D: 10.3% 15D: 8.5% 30D: 15.9%

Model insight

Dundalk – Shelbourne Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.58. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 6.90% and 6.90%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample12

Win Rate25.0%

Profit-4.49u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	FC Yamato Sylphid (W) - Veertien Mie (W)	2.75	7.96%
LOSS	FC Copenhagen - Midtjylland	2.51	6.90%
LOSS	Al-Arabi Al-Saudi - Al Jandal	2.63	6.90%
LOSS	FK Blansko - SK Unicov	2.45	6.90%
LOSS	Operario PR - Chapecoense	2.34	6.90%
WIN	Al Hamriyah - Al Fujairah	2.45	6.90%
LOSS	Escola Varsovia U19 - Lech Poznan U19	2.70	6.90%
LOSS	Juazeirense - ASA	2.40	6.90%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
LKS Lodz II - OKS Swit Skolwin	1	2.35	6.90%	08 May 17:00

Pick

1 @ 2.58

Kickoff

Mag 01, 2026 10:45 PM

Confidence

CONF: HIGH

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 6.90% • n=238

Confidence V4

CONF V4: HIGH

Exp. ROI V4

6.90% • n=238

Start

Started 71d 2h ago

Updated

Updated 71d 6h ago