Model: TIPPSA

Dungannon Swifts vs Carrick Rangers

PREDICTION

@ 2.27

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 06, 2026 10:45 PM

ResultLOSS3 - 1

StartStarted 89d 8h ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.92% · n=178

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 89d 10h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Carrick Rangers. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Carrick RangersGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

35/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.19First seen

Current2.27Now

Max odds2.35Highest point

Min odds2.10Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Dungannon SwiftsHOME

Carrick RangersAWAY

WLLLL

Recent form

LWWLD

Avg goals scored

1.00

2.00

Defensive weakness

3.60

1.80

Shots on target for

3.40

5.00

SoT conceded pressure

7.40

5.00

Home splitW-L-L2.00 scored / 2.33 conceded

Away splitL-W-W-D2.00 scored / 1.50 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.27. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.92% based on n=178 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Northern Ireland Premier (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.27

V2 BandLOWROI 1.92% · n=178

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Carrick Rangers has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: -26.8% 7D: -17.6% 15D: -2.4% 30D: 8.4%

Model insight

Dungannon Swifts – Carrick Rangers Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.27. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.92% across 178 similar predictions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample118

Win Rate48.3%

Profit+5.74u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Wexford FC - Bray Wanderers	2.28	0.84%
WIN	Brommapojkarna - Malmo FF	2.08	1.21%
LOSS	Estrela - Al-Nassr Riyadh	2.23	1.21%
LOSS	FK Ekranas - FK Zalgiris Vilnius II	2.37	0.84%
LOSS	Carina Gubin - Miedz Legnica II	2.19	1.21%
WIN	Sandviken - Kvik Halden FK	2.33	0.84%
WIN	Coritiba - Cruzeiro	2.34	0.84%
LOSS	Hradec Kralove - Tromso	2.11	1.21%

Pick

2 @ 2.27

Kickoff

Mag 06, 2026 10:45 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.92% • n=178

Start

Started 89d 8h ago

Updated

Updated 89d 10h ago