Model: TIPPSH

Fram Reykjavik vs Valur Reykjavik

PREDICTION

@ 2.15

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 08, 2026 11:15 PM

ResultWIN3 - 2

StartStarted 87d 6h ago

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=299

V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=299

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 89d 9h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Fram Reykjavik. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Fram ReykjavikGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

43/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.98First seen

Current2.15Now

Max odds2.15Highest point

Min odds1.97Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Fram ReykjavikHOME

Valur ReykjavikAWAY

WWWLW

Recent form

LLWWW

Avg goals scored

3.00

2.40

Defensive weakness

1.60

2.00

Shots on target for

7.20

4.00

SoT conceded pressure

4.60

7.20

Home splitW-W-W-D-L3.20 scored / 2.20 conceded

Away splitL-W-L2.67 scored / 3.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.15. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.86% based on n=299 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Iceland Premier League (is). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.15

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.86% · n=299

V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.86% · n=299

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Fram Reykjavik's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: -16.4% 7D: -17.0% 15D: -4.6% 30D: 9.0%

Model insight

Fram Reykjavik – Valur Reykjavik Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.15. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.86% and 4.86%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample298

Win Rate45.6%

Profit-15.46u

Historical Similar Predictions

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WIN	ROW 1964 Rybnik - Warta Gorzow	2.28	2.49%
WIN	Täfteå IK - Gottne IF	2.19	3.37%
LOSS	FC Yaypan Fergana - Fardu Ferghana	2.15	3.37%
LOSS	Hibernian - Motherwell	2.28	2.49%
LOSS	Beitar Jerusalem - AEK Larnaca	1.95	3.37%

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Pick

1 @ 2.15

Kickoff

Mag 08, 2026 11:15 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 4.86% • n=299

Confidence V4

CONF V4: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V4

4.86% • n=299

Start

Started 87d 6h ago

Updated

Updated 89d 9h ago