EL Nacional (W) vs Quito FC (W)
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Quito FC (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Quito FC (W)Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.02. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.92% based on n=29 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Ecuador Primera Women (ec). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
Despite entering the match at a generous price, Quito FC (W) has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Quito FC (W) is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
EL Nacional (W) – Quito FC (W) Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Fencibles United - East Coast Bays | 2.81 | 4.96% |
| LOSS | Dodoma Jiji FC - JKT Tanzania | 3.05 | 4.96% |
| LOSS | Santamarina Tandil - Kimberley Mar del Plata | 3.01 | 4.96% |
| LOSS | Deportes Copiapo - Santiago Wanderers | 2.92 | 4.96% |
| WIN | New Zealand (W) - Haiti (W) | 2.86 | 4.96% |
| LOSS | Qingdao West Coast - Shanghai Shenhua | 2.91 | 4.96% |
| LOSS | Egypt - Russia | 3.27 | 4.77% |
| LOSS | Cadiz - Leganes | 2.86 | 4.96% |