Elfsborg – Mjällby AIF

Model: TipTromba35H

Elfsborg vs Mjällby AIF

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.00
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 21, 2026 9:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 50d 12h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.01% · n=821
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 52d 11h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Elfsborg. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Elfsborg

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

35/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.75First seen
Current3.00Now
Max odds3.00Highest point
Min odds2.75Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

ElfsborgHOME
VS
Mjällby AIFAWAY
DDWDL
Recent form
DLWWW
Avg goals scored
1.20
2.00
Defensive weakness
1.00
1.20
Shots on target for
3.20
5.00
SoT conceded pressure
3.20
3.40
Home splitD-W-D-W-W1.60 scored / 0.60 conceded
Away splitD-W-W-D-L1.60 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.00. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 0.01% based on n=821 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Sweden Allsvenskan (se). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd3.00
V2 BandLOWROI 0.01% · n=821
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 16.1% 7D: 15.1% 15D: 6.1% 30D: 2.0%
Model insight

Elfsborg – Mjällby AIF Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.00. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba35H model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.01% across 821 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Connecticut Legends (W) - New England Mutiny (W)13.200.01%11 Jul 22:00
Pick
1 @ 3.00
Kickoff
Mag 21, 2026 9:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 0.01% • n=821
Start
Started 50d 12h ago
Updated
Updated 52d 11h ago
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